Announcement

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Kazakhmys sees 2010 flat after copper output slides

Reuters reported that Kazakh copper producer Kazakhmys forecast no output growth this year after shutting mines to save cash in 2009 and seeing Q4 production slide by 25%.

Investors will have to wait until at least 2011 for the company's growth projects to lift output. It sealed a deal last year for USD 2.7 billion in financing for expansion projects.

The London listed company said that in a production report that it slightly exceeded its 2009 output target of 315,000 tonnes of copper cathode, coming in with 320,400 tonnes, but this was 6.6% fall from the previous year.

Analysts said that the production data was largely in line with expectations. The shares were up 1.4% at 1283 pence at 1128 GMT, outperforming a 0.4% rise in the UK mining index.

Mr Liam Fitzpatrick analyst of Credit Suisse reiterated an outperform rating and a target of 1270 pence, saying the 2010 price earnings ratio of 8.0 was a discount to the firm's global peers.

Kazakhmys suspended output at 4 high cost mines last year to save cash during the economic downturn, which hammered copper prices. The mines are not due to be restarted in the near term and the company does not have the stockpiles to sell in 2010 like it did last year, which allowed an upgrade of the annual cathode target from an initial 300,000 tonnes.

Mr Oleg Novachuk CEO of Kazakhmys said that "In 2010 ore output will be maintained at a similar level to 2009 and the target for cathode production will therefore again be just over 300,000 tonnes."

Production of copper cathodes from its own concentrate decreased to 68,100 tonnes in the 3 months to the end of December from 91,300 tonnes in the previous year.

Mr John Smelt head of corporate communications said that part of the decline was due to maintenance work on smelters and rebuilding inventories after depleting them earlier in the year, so Q1 2010 cathode production should improve. However, it will take longer for growth projects to make an impact on production.

(Sourced from http://www.steelguru.com/news/index/2010/02/01/MTMwOTky/Kazakhmys_sees_2010_flat_after_copper_output_slides.html)

Downsizing deals - Mr Berlusconi warns Alcoa on closures

FT reported that Mr Silvio Berlusconi, the Italian premier, warned Alcoa, the US aluminium producer, that it risked damaging its relations with the Italian government if it went ahead with its decision to shut down two smelters.

In a letter to Mr Klaus Kleinfeld, Alcoa CEO, Mr Berlusconi urged the US giant not to act on its decision to shut down two smelters by February 6 and to wait for the outcome of Alcoa's appeal to the European Commission over electricity subsidies.
Mr Berlusconi said that shutting down the two plants in Sardinia and near Venice could alter relations between the Italian government and the multinational.

Mr Berlusconi's statement reflected the government's alarm at rising job losses across Italian operations of Aloca.

(Sourced http://www.steelguru.com/news/index/2010/02/01/MTMwOTkx/Downsizing_deals_-_Mr_Berlusconi_warns_Alcoa_on_closures.html)

Monday Market Monitor - Metals (WEEK 04) - Gloom prevails

Base metals continued their downward journey last week with copper hitting a 2 month low on Friday.

Surprisingly strong US economic growth figures were outweighed by a firmer dollar and lingering worries over potential monetary tightening in China.

The US economy grew at a faster than expected 5.7% in the fourth quarter, the quickest pace in more than six years but metals retraced gains amid lingering concern about China's move on January 12 to raise domestic banks' reserve requirement ratio, a possible precursor to rate hikes.

Investors further fear that if the US economy recovers strongly, the Federal Reserve might decide to raise interest rates sooner than initially expected, which would boost the dollar and might cap metal prices as a stronger dollar makes dollar priced metals more expensive for non US investors.

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer


Product 21-Jan 28-Jan Change %

Zinc 2447 2155 -292 -12%

Nickel 18800 18125 -675 -4%

Tin 17890 17625 -265 -1%

Aluminium 2229 2126 -104 -5%

Copper 7346 7042 -305 -4%


Change is on December 31st as compared to December 24th 2009
In USD per tonne

1. Zinc

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer


21-Jan 25-Jan 26-Jan 27-Jan 28-Jan

2447 2323 2307 2254 2155


In USD per tonne


Date Rate Period Change

28-Jan 2155

21-Jan 2447 WoW -11.93%

28-Dec 2490 MoM -13.45%

28-Oct 2240 QoQ -3.79%

28-Jan'09 1121 YoY 92.24%


In USD per tonne

2. Nickel

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer


21-Jan 25-Jan 26-Jan 27-Jan 28-Jan

18800 18370 18290 17930 18125


In USD per tonne


Date Rate Period Change

28-Jan 18125

21-Jan 18800 WoW -3.59%

28-Dec 18630 MoM -2.71%

28-Oct 18495 QoQ -2.00%

28-Jan'09 11650 YoY 55.58%


In USD per tonne

LME nickel stocks hit another record high of 164,808 tonnes.

3. Tin

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer


21-Jan 25-Jan 26-Jan 27-Jan 28-Jan

17890 17700 17740 17920 17625



In USD per tonne


Date Rate Period Change

28-Jan 17625

21-Jan 17890 WoW -1.48%

28-Dec 16140 MoM 9.20%

28-Oct 15090 QoQ 16.80%

28-Jan'09 11450 YoY 53.93%


In USD per tonne

4. Aluminium

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer


21-Jan 25-Jan 26-Jan 27-Jan 28-Jan

2229 2217 2189 2149 2126


In USD per tonne


Date Rate Period Change

28-Jan 2126

21-Jan 2229 WoW -4.64%

28-Dec 2200 MoM -3.39%

28-Oct 1928 QoQ 10.24%

28-Jan'09 1331 YoY 59.69%


In USD per tonne

LME stocks of aluminium remained near record levels above 4.6 million tonnes.

5. Copper

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer


21-Jan 25-Jan 26-Jan 27-Jan 28-Jan

7346 7408 7305 7243 7042


In USD per tonne


Date Rate Period Change

28-Jan 7042

21-Jan 7346 WoW -4.15%

28-Dec 7069 MoM -0.39%

28-Oct 6470 QoQ 8.83%

28-Jan'09 3292 YoY 113.90%


In USD per tonne

LME copper stocks rose to 541,050 tonnes, a near one year high.

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(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

Outlook for nickel by Kedia Commodity

Nickel has traded with the positive node and settled 0.91% up at 840.4. Some support had been seen from the LME stock also which came down by 186 million tonnes, the total stock at LME is now at 163518 million tonnes. In the trading session, nickel has touched the low of 825.5 after opening at 831.9, and finally settled at 840.4.

For today's session, market is looking to take support at 825.6, a break below could see a test of 810.80 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 855.1, a move above could see prices testing 869.80.

Spread between nickel January and February contracts ended at 3.90, we have seen yesterday that the nickel market had traded with a positive node and settled 0.91% up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 3.90 to 5.40.

(Sourced from http://www.steelguru.com/news/index/2010/02/01/MTMwOTg5/Outlook_for_nickel_by_Kedia_Commodity.html)

Taigang Stainless to up stainless seamless pipe output

It is reported that Shanxi based Chinese stainless steel producer Taigang Stainless Steel produced 6,000 tonnes of stainless seamless pipe in 2009, basically equivalent to the output level for the previous year.

Meanwhile, Taigang Stainless Steel forecasts a significant rise in its production of stainless seamless pipe in 2010, recalling that on December 16th 2009 its 6,000 tonnes extruding machine, part of its new 50,000 tonnes stainless seamless pipe project, succeeded in producing its first stainless seamless pipes.

(Sourced from http://www.steelguru.com/news/index/2010/02/01/MTMwOTg3/Taigang_Stainless_to_up_stainless_seamless_pipe_output.html)

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